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Black Friday Xbox Predictions 2018

Ready to upgrade? Xbox One X console prices will fall by at least $100 this Black Friday.
Black Friday Xbox

Black Friday Xbox Predictions

  • Xbox One X could fall to $375 after coupons
  • Xbox One S models will be $180 and bundled with at least one game
  • Select games will fall to $15 at stores like Target and Walmart

The Xbox One X has been on shelves for less than a year, but this year, it's been common to see the device at or below $400 (it retails for $500). For Black Friday 2018, we're expecting this current-generation console to fall to $375 after coupons.

What's more, GameStop has already offered trade-in deals this year that took up to $300 off an Xbox One X, depending on the value of the trade-in. There's a chance that offer could come back for the holiday season.

We expect older Xbox One S bundles with one game (or more) to hit at least $180. This should apply to both the 500GB and 1TB models. We saw select bundles fall to $190 last Black Friday, and standalone consoles hit $161.

We consistently see AAA titles fall to $25 or less around the holidays, but the discount often depends on a game's release date.

The cheaper bundles will likely include older games, but packages over $200 could easily include recently released titles. Last year, we saw a 500GB Xbox One S bundled with a copy of Call of Duty: WWII and a limited edition of FIFA 18 for $249 — both games were released within a couple months of Black Friday 2017.

We consistently see AAA titles fall to $25 or less around the holidays, but the discount often depends on a game's release date. Games like Mafia III (around a year old in November 2017) dropped to $15. But even games released earlier in 2017 hit $20.

If you don't mind used titles, there's a chance we'll see GameStop bring back its four-for-$10 sale, which included Xbox One and PS4, as well as older consoles like Xbox 360, Nintendo Wii, and PlayStation 3.

Xbox has a glut of holiday bundles planned for this year. If you've been eyeing the Xbox One X, you can choose from packages that include Battlefield V, NBA 2K19, Forza Horizon 4, Fallout 76, Shadow of the Tomb Raider, or PlayerUnknown's Battlegrounds (PUBG). All of these Xbox One holiday bundles will set you back $499 at list price.

If you're looking to spend less and don't mind a step down in performance, the Xbox One S might be perfect for your needs. You can still plan to score 1TB Xbox One S models with many of the same games — the only exceptions are Fallout 76 and Shadow of the Tomb Raider. Other Xbox One S bundles include Minecraft, Sea of Thieves, or Rocket League.

The recently announced Xbox All Access program offers another approach to snagging an Xbox One X. The subscription enables gamers to get an Xbox One X — bundled with 24 months of Xbox Live Gold and Xbox Game Pass — for $34.99 per month. The Xbox One S is also available as a subscription option for $21.99 per month for 24 months.

Over those two years, you could save about $20 for the Xbox One X package and $130 for the Xbox One S package, compared to buying the items separately at retail price.

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Senior Staff Writer

Julie joined DealNews in 2015. Her work has been featured on MSN, Business Insider, Lifehacker, The Motley Fool, GoBankingRates, and Moneyish. In her spare time, she enjoys baking sweets, reading thrillers, and listening to an ever-growing list of podcasts.
DealNews may be compensated by companies mentioned in this article. Please note that, although prices sometimes fluctuate or expire unexpectedly, all products and deals mentioned in this feature were available at the lowest total price we could find at the time of publication (unless otherwise specified).
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